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@ARTICLE{Chen:131719,
author = {C. Chen$^*$ and C. Stock$^*$ and M. Hoffmeister$^*$ and H.
Brenner$^*$},
title = {{P}ublic health impact of colonoscopy use on colorectal
cancer mortality in {G}ermany and the {U}nited {S}tates.},
journal = {Gastrointestinal endoscopy},
volume = {87},
number = {1},
issn = {0016-5107},
address = {New York, NY},
publisher = {Elsevier},
reportid = {DKFZ-2018-00025},
pages = {213 - 221.e2},
year = {2018},
abstract = {Colonoscopy has been demonstrated to be effective in
reducing colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality and
has been widely used for primary CRC screening in Germany
and the United States. We performed a population-based
analysis to evaluate and compare the public health impact of
recent colonoscopy use on CRC deaths among adults aged 55 to
79 years in Germany and the United States from 2008
to 2011.The epidemiologic metrics of attributable fraction
and prevented fraction as well as the impact numbers were
calculated using colonoscopy utilization data from
nationally representative health surveys, relative risk
estimates from medical literature, and CRC death registry
data.Overall, $36.6\%$ $(95\%$ credible interval [CrI],
$27.3\%-45.5\%)$ of CRC deaths in Germany were estimated to
be attributable to nonuse of colonoscopy, compared with the
U.S. estimates of $38.2\%$ $(95\%$ CrI, $28.6\%-47.1\%)$ and
$33.6\%$ $(95\%$ CrI, $24.8\%-42.2\%)$ for years 2008 to
2009 and 2010 to 2011, respectively. The proportion of CRC
deaths theoretically prevented by colonoscopy use within 10
years was $30.7\%$ $(95\%$ CrI, $24.8\%-35.7\%)$ in Germany,
whereas in the United States this proportion ranged from
$29.0\%$ $(95\%$ CrI, $23.4\%-33.6\%)$ for 2008 to 2009 to
$33.9\%$ $(95\%$ CrI, $27.4\%-39.2\%)$ for 2010
to 2011.Recent colonoscopy use is likely to have prevented
a considerable fraction of CRC mortality in both countries,
and more deaths could be avoided by increasing colonoscopy
use in the target population. Attributable and prevented
fraction can provide valuable information on the public
health impact of colonoscopy use and guide policymaking.},
cin = {C070 / G110 / L101},
ddc = {610},
cid = {I:(DE-He78)C070-20160331 / I:(DE-He78)G110-20160331 /
I:(DE-He78)L101-20160331},
pnm = {313 - Cancer risk factors and prevention (POF3-313)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-313},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:28431951},
doi = {10.1016/j.gie.2017.04.005},
url = {https://inrepo02.dkfz.de/record/131719},
}