% IMPORTANT: The following is UTF-8 encoded. This means that in the presence
% of non-ASCII characters, it will not work with BibTeX 0.99 or older.
% Instead, you should use an up-to-date BibTeX implementation like “bibtex8” or
% “biber”.
@ARTICLE{Wood:132874,
author = {A. M. Wood and S. Kaptoge and A. S. Butterworth and P.
Willeit and S. Warnakula and T. Bolton and E. Paige and D.
S. Paul and M. Sweeting and S. Burgess and S. Bell and W.
Astle and D. Stevens and A. Koulman and R. M. Selmer and W.
M. M. Verschuren and S. Sato and I. Njølstad and M.
Woodward and V. Salomaa and B. G. Nordestgaard and B. B.
Yeap and A. Fletcher and O. Melander and L. H. Kuller and B.
Balkau and M. Marmot and W. Koenig and E. Casiglia and C.
Cooper and V. Arndt$^*$ and O. H. Franco and P. Wennberg and
J. Gallacher and A. G. de la Cámara and H. Völzke and C.
C. Dahm and C. E. Dale and M. M. Bergmann and C. J. Crespo
and Y. T. van der Schouw and R. Kaaks$^*$ and L. A. Simons
and P. Lagiou and J. D. Schoufour and J. M. A. Boer and T.
J. Key and B. Rodriguez and C. Moreno-Iribas and K. W.
Davidson and J. O. Taylor and C. Sacerdote and R. B. Wallace
and J. R. Quiros and R. Tumino and D. G. Blazer and A.
Linneberg and M. Daimon and S. Panico and B. Howard and G.
Skeie and T. Strandberg and E. Weiderpass and P. J. Nietert
and B. M. Psaty and D. Kromhout and E. Salamanca-Fernandez
and S. Kiechl and H. M. Krumholz and S. Grioni and D. Palli
and J. M. Huerta and J. Price and J. Sundström and L.
Arriola and H. Arima and R. C. Travis and D. B. Panagiotakos
and A. Karakatsani and A. Trichopoulou and T. Kühn$^*$ and
D. E. Grobbee and E. Barrett-Connor and N. van Schoor and H.
Boeing and K. Overvad and J. Kauhanen and N. Wareham and C.
Langenberg and N. Forouhi and M. Wennberg and J.-P. Després
and M. Cushman and J. A. Cooper and C. J. Rodriguez and M.
Sakurai and J. E. Shaw and M. Knuiman and T. Voortman and C.
Meisinger and A. Tjønneland and H. Brenner$^*$ and L.
Palmieri and J. Dallongeville and E. J. Brunner and G.
Assmann and M. Trevisan and R. F. Gillum and I. Ford and N.
Sattar and M. Lazo and S. G. Thompson and P. Ferrari and D.
A. Leon and G. D. Smith and R. Peto and R. Jackson and E.
Banks and E. Di Angelantonio and J. Danesh and S. Veikko and
A. Flecther and A. Gómez de la Cámara and P. Lagiou and E.
B. Rimm and V. Salomaa and E. Salamanca-Fernandez and G.
Davey Smith},
collaboration = {E. R. F. C. B. A. S. Group},
title = {{R}isk thresholds for alcohol consumption: combined
analysis of individual-participant data for 599 912
current drinkers in 83 prospective studies.},
journal = {The lancet},
volume = {391},
number = {10129},
issn = {0140-6736},
address = {London [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier},
reportid = {DKFZ-2018-00516},
pages = {1513 - 1523},
year = {2018},
abstract = {Low-risk limits recommended for alcohol consumption vary
substantially across different national guidelines. To
define thresholds associated with lowest risk for all-cause
mortality and cardiovascular disease, we studied
individual-participant data from 599 912 current drinkers
without previous cardiovascular disease.We did a combined
analysis of individual-participant data from three
large-scale data sources in 19 high-income countries (the
Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration, EPIC-CVD, and the UK
Biobank). We characterised dose-response associations and
calculated hazard ratios (HRs) per 100 g per week of alcohol
(12·5 units per week) across 83 prospective studies,
adjusting at least for study or centre, age, sex, smoking,
and diabetes. To be eligible for the analysis, participants
had to have information recorded about their alcohol
consumption amount and status (ie, non-drinker vs current
drinker), plus age, sex, history of diabetes and smoking
status, at least 1 year of follow-up after baseline, and no
baseline history of cardiovascular disease. The main
analyses focused on current drinkers, whose baseline alcohol
consumption was categorised into eight predefined groups
according to the amount in grams consumed per week. We
assessed alcohol consumption in relation to all-cause
mortality, total cardiovascular disease, and several
cardiovascular disease subtypes. We corrected HRs for
estimated long-term variability in alcohol consumption using
152 640 serial alcohol assessments obtained some years
apart (median interval 5·6 years [5th-95th percentile
1·04-13·5]) from 71 011 participants from 37 studies.In
the 599 912 current drinkers included in the analysis, we
recorded 40 310 deaths and 39 018 incident
cardiovascular disease events during 5·4 million
person-years of follow-up. For all-cause mortality, we
recorded a positive and curvilinear association with the
level of alcohol consumption, with the minimum mortality
risk around or below 100 g per week. Alcohol consumption was
roughly linearly associated with a higher risk of stroke (HR
per 100 g per week higher consumption 1·14, $95\%$ CI,
1·10-1·17), coronary disease excluding myocardial
infarction (1·06, 1·00-1·11), heart failure (1·09,
1·03-1·15), fatal hypertensive disease (1·24,
1·15-1·33); and fatal aortic aneurysm (1·15,
1·03-1·28). By contrast, increased alcohol consumption was
log-linearly associated with a lower risk of myocardial
infarction (HR 0·94, 0·91-0·97). In comparison to those
who reported drinking >0-≤100 g per week, those who
reported drinking >100-≤200 g per week, >200-≤350 g per
week, or >350 g per week had lower life expectancy at age 40
years of approximately 6 months, 1-2 years, or 4-5 years,
respectively.In current drinkers of alcohol in high-income
countries, the threshold for lowest risk of all-cause
mortality was about 100 g/week. For cardiovascular disease
subtypes other than myocardial infarction, there were no
clear risk thresholds below which lower alcohol consumption
stopped being associated with lower disease risk. These data
support limits for alcohol consumption that are lower than
those recommended in most current guidelines.UK Medical
Research Council, British Heart Foundation, National
Institute for Health Research, European Union Framework 7,
and European Research Council.},
cin = {C071 / C070 / G110 / C020},
ddc = {610},
cid = {I:(DE-He78)C071-20160331 / I:(DE-He78)C070-20160331 /
I:(DE-He78)G110-20160331 / I:(DE-He78)C020-20160331},
pnm = {313 - Cancer risk factors and prevention (POF3-313)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-313},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:29676281},
pmc = {pmc:PMC5899998},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30134-X},
url = {https://inrepo02.dkfz.de/record/132874},
}