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@ARTICLE{Collaboration:136772,
author = {B. Zhou and J. Bentham and M. Di Cesare and H. Bixby and G.
Danaei and K. Hajifathalian and C. Taddei and R. M.
Carrillo-Larco and S. Djalalinia and S. Khatibzadeh and C.
Lugero and N. Peykari and W. Z. Zhang and J. Bennett and V.
Bilano and G. A. Stevens and M. J. Cowan and L. M. Riley and
Z. Chen and I. R. Hambleton and R. T. Jackson and A. P.
Kengne and Y.-H. Khang and A. Laxmaiah and J. Liu and R.
Malekzadeh and H. K. Neuhauser and M. Sorić and G. Starc
and J. Sundström and M. Woodward and M. Ezzati and L.
Abarca-Gómez and Z. A. Abdeen and N. M. Abu-Rmeileh and B.
Acosta-Cazares and R. J. Adams and W. Aekplakorn and K.
Afsana and C. A. Aguilar-Salinas and C. Agyemang and N. A.
Ahmad and A. Ahmadvand and W. Ahrens and K. Ajlouni and N.
Akhtaeva and R. Al-Raddadi and M. M. Ali and O. Ali and A.
Alkerwi and E. Aly and D. N. Amarapurkar and P. Amouyel and
A. Amuzu and L. B. Andersen and S. A. Anderssen and L. H.
Ängquist and R. M. Anjana and D. Ansong and H.
Aounallah-Skhiri and J. Araújo and I. Ariansen and T. Aris
and N. Arlappa and D. Arveiler and K. K. Aryal and T.
Aspelund and F. K. Assah and M. C. F. Assunção and M.
Avdicová and A. Azevedo and F. Azizi and B. V. Babu and S.
Bahijri and N. Balakrishna and M. Bamoshmoosh and M. Banach
and P. Bandosz and J. R. Banegas and C. M. Barbagallo and A.
Barceló and A. Barkat and A. J. D. Barros and M. V. Barros
and I. Bata and A. M. Batieha and A. Batyrbek and L. A. Baur
and R. Beaglehole and H. B. Romdhane and M. Benet and L. S.
Benson and A. Bernabe-Ortiz and G. Bernotiene and H. Bettiol
and A. Bhagyalaxmi and S. Bharadwaj and S. K. Bhargava and
Y. Bi and M. Bikbov and B. Bista and P. Bjerregaard and E.
Bjertness and M. B. Bjertness and C. Björkelund and A.
Blokstra and S. Bo and M. Bobak and H. Boeing and J. G.
Boggia and C. P. Boissonnet and V. Bongard and R. Borchini
and P. Bovet and L. Braeckman and I. Brajkovich and F.
Branca and J. Breckenkamp and H. Brenner$^*$ and L. M.
Brewster and G. Bruno and H. B. A. Bueno-de-Mesquita and A.
Bugge and C. Burns and M. Bursztyn and A. C. de León and J.
Cacciottolo and H. Cai and C. Cameron and G. Can and A. P.
C. Cândido and V. Capuano and V. C. Cardoso and A. C.
Carlsson and M. J. Carvalho and F. F. Casanueva and J.-P.
Casas and C. A. Caserta and S. Chamukuttan and A. W. Chan
and Q. Chan and H. K. Chaturvedi and N. Chaturvedi and C.-J.
Chen and F. Chen and H. Chen and S. Chen and Z. Chen and
C.-Y. Cheng and I. C. Dekkaki and A. Chetrit and A. Chiolero
and S.-T. Chiou and A. Chirita-Emandi and M.-D. Chirlaque
and B. Cho and Y. Cho and D. G. Christofaro and J. Chudek
and R. Cifkova and E. Cinteza and F. Claessens and E. Clays
and H. Concin and C. Cooper and R. Cooper and T. C.
Coppinger and S. Costanzo and D. Cottel and C. Cowell and C.
L. Craig and A. B. Crujeiras and J. J. Cruz and G. D'Arrigo
and E. d'Orsi and J. Dallongeville and A. Damasceno and G.
Danaei and R. Dankner and T. M. Dantoft and L. Dauchet and
K. Davletov and G. De Backer and D. De Bacquer and G. de
Gaetano and S. De Henauw and P. D. de Oliveira and D. De
Smedt and M. Deepa and A. Dehghan and H. Delisle and V.
Deschamps and K. Dhana and A. F. Di Castelnuovo and J. S.
Dias-da-Costa and A. Diaz and T. T. Dickerson and S.
Djalalinia and H. T. P. Do and C. Donfrancesco and S. P.
Donoso and A. Döring and M. Dorobantu and K. Doua and W.
Drygas and V. Dulskiene and A. Džakula and V. Dzerve and E.
Dziankowska-Zaborszczyk and R. Eggertsen and U. Ekelund and
J. El Ati and P. Elliott and R. Elosua and R. T. Erasmus and
C. Erem and L. Eriksen and J. G. Eriksson and J. Escobedo-de
la Peña and A. Evans and D. Faeh and C. H. Fall and F.
Farzadfar and F. J. Felix-Redondo and T. S. Ferguson and R.
A. Fernandes and D. Fernández-Bergés and D. Ferrante and
M. Ferrari and C. Ferreccio and J. Ferrieres and J. D. Finn
and K. Fischer and B. Föger and L. H. Foo and A.-S.
Forslund and M. Forsner and H. M. Fouad and D. K. Francis
and M. do Carmo Franco and O. H. Franco and G. Frontera and
F. D. Fuchs and S. C. Fuchs and Y. Fujita and T. Furusawa
and Z. Gaciong and F. Galvano and M. Garcia-de-la-Hera and
D. Gareta and S. P. Garnett and J.-M. Gaspoz and M. Gasull
and L. Gates and J. M. Geleijnse and A. Ghasemian and A.
Ghimire and S. Giampaoli and F. Gianfagna and T. K. Gill and
J. Giovannelli and R. A. Goldsmith and H. Gonçalves and M.
Gonzalez-Gross and J. P. González-Rivas and M. B. Gorbea
and F. Gottrand and S. Graff-Iversen and D. Grafnetter and
A. Grajda and M. G. Grammatikopoulou and R. D. Gregor and T.
Grodzicki and A. Grøntved and G. Grosso and G. Gruden and
V. Grujic and D. Gu and O. P. Guan and E. F. Gudmundsson and
V. Gudnason and R. Guerrero and I. Guessous and A. L.
Guimaraes and M. C. Gulliford and J. Gunnlaugsdottir and M.
Gunter and P. C. Gupta and R. Gupta and O. Gureje and B.
Gurzkowska and L. Gutierrez and F. Gutzwiller and F. Hadaegh
and J. Halkjær and I. R. Hambleton and R. Hardy and R. Hari
Kumar and J. Hata and A. J. Hayes and J. He and Y. He and M.
Elisabeth and A. Henriques and L. H. Cadena and S. Herrala
and R. Heshmat and I. T. Hihtaniemi and S. Y. Ho and S. C.
Ho and M. Hobbs and A. Hofman and G. H. Dinc and A. R. V. R.
Horimoto and C. M. Hormiga and B. L. Horta and L. Houti and
C. Howitt and T. T. Htay and A. S. Htet and M. M. Than Htike
and Y. Hu and J. M. Huerta and M. Huisman and A. S. Husseini
and I. Huybrechts and N. Hwalla and L. Iacoviello and A. G.
Iannone and M. M. Ibrahim and N. I. Wong and N. Ikeda and M.
A. Ikram and V. E. Irazola and M. Islam and A. Al-Safi
Ismail and V. Ivkovic and M. Iwasaki and R. T. Jackson and
J. M. Jacobs and H. Jaddou and T. Jafar and K. Jamrozik and
I. Janszky and G. Jasienska and A. Jelaković and B.
Jelaković and G. Jennings and S.-L. Jeong and C. Q. Jiang
and M. Joffres and M. Johansson and J. J. Jokelainen and J.
B. Jonas and T. Jørgensen and P. Joshi and J. Jóźwiak and
A. Juolevi and G. Jurak and V. Jureša and R. Kaaks$^*$ and
A. Kafatos and E. O. Kajantie and O. Kalter-Leibovici and N.
A. Kamaruddin and K. B. Karki and A. Kasaeian and J. Katz
and J. Kauhanen and P. Kaur and M. Kavousi and G. Kazakbaeva
and U. Keil and L. K. Boker and S. Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi
and R. Kelishadi and H. C. G. Kemper and A. P. Kengne and A.
Kerimkulova and M. Kersting and T. Key and Y. S. Khader and
D. Khalili and Y.-H. Khang and M. Khateeb and K.-T. Khaw and
U. Kiechl-Kohlendorfer and S. Kiechl and J. Killewo and J.
Kim and Y.-Y. Kim and J. Klumbiene and M. Knoflach and E.
Kolle and P. Kolsteren and P. Korrovits and S. Koskinen and
K. Kouda and S. Kowlessur and S. Koziel and S. Kriemler and
P. L. Kristensen and S. Krokstad and D. Kromhout and H. S.
Kruger and R. Kubinova and R. Kuciene and D. Kuh and U. M.
Kujala and Z. Kulaga and R. Krishna Kumar and P. Kurjata and
Y. S. Kusuma and K. Kuulasmaa and C. Kyobutungi and T.
Laatikainen and C. Lachat and T. H. Lam and O. Landrove and
V. Lanska and G. Lappas and B. Larijani and L. E. Laugsand
and A. Laxmaiah and K. Le Nguyen Bao and T. D. Le and C.
Leclercq and J. Lee and J. Lee and T. Lehtimäki and L. M.
León-Muñoz and N. S. Levitt and Y. Li and C. L. Lilly and
W.-Y. Lim and M. F. Lima-Costa and H.-H. Lin and X. Lin and
L. Lind and A. Linneberg and L. Lissner and M. Litwin and J.
Liu and R. Lorbeer and P. A. Lotufo and J. E. Lozano and D.
Luksiene and A. Lundqvist and N. Lunet and P. Lytsy and G.
Ma and J. Ma and G. L. L. Machado-Coelho and S. Machi and S.
Maggi and D. J. Magliano and E. Magriplis and M. Majer and
M. Makdisse and R. Malekzadeh and R. Malhotra and K.
Mallikharjuna Rao and S. Malyutina and Y. Manios and J. I.
Mann and E. Manzato and P. Margozzini and P. Marques-Vidal
and L. P. Marques and J. Marrugat and R. Martorell and E. B.
Mathiesen and A. Matijasevich and T. E. Matsha and J. C. N.
Mbanya and A. J. Mc Donald Posso and S. R. McFarlane and S.
T. McGarvey and S. McLachlan and R. M. McLean and S. B.
McLean and B. A. McNulty and S. Mediene-Benchekor and J.
Medzioniene and A. Meirhaeghe and C. Meisinger and A. M. B.
Menezes and G. R. Menon and I. I. Meshram and A. Metspalu
and H. E. Meyer and J. Mi and K. Mikkel and J. C. Miller and
C. S. Minderico and J. Francisco and J. J. Miranda and E.
Mirrakhimov and M. Mišigoj-Durakovic and P. A. Modesti and
M. K. Mohamed and K. Mohammad and N. Mohammadifard and V.
Mohan and S. Mohanna and M. F. Mohd Yusoff and L. T.
Møllehave and N. C. Møller and D. Molnár and A. Momenan
and C. K. Mondo and K. D. K. Monyeki and J. S. Moon and L.
B. Moreira and A. Morejon and L. A. Moreno and K. Morgan and
G. Moschonis and M. Mossakowska and A. Mostafa and J. Mota
and M. Esmaeel Motlagh and J. Motta and K. P. Msyamboza and
T. T. Mu and M. L. Muiesan and M. Müller-Nurasyid and N.
Murphy and J. Mursu and V. Musil and I. Nabipour and G.
Nagel and B. M. Naidu and H. Nakamura and J. Námešná and
E. E. K. Nang and V. B. Nangia and S. Narake and M. Nauck
and E. M. Navarrete-Muñoz and N. C. Ndiaye and W. A. Neal
and I. Nenko and M. Neovius and F. Nervi and H. K. Neuhauser
and C. T. Nguyen and N. D. Nguyen and Q. N. Nguyen and Q. V.
Nguyen and R. E. Nieto-Martínez and T. J. Niiranen and G.
Ning and T. Ninomiya and S. Nishtar and M. Noale and O. A.
Noboa and A. A. Noorbala and T. Norat and D. Noto and M. Al
Nsour and D. O'Reilly and E. Oda and G. Oehlers and K. Oh
and K. Ohara and M. T. A. Olinto and I. O. Oliveira and M.
A. Omar and A. Onat and S. K. Ong and L. M. Ono and P.
Ordunez and R. Ornelas and C. Osmond and S. M. Ostojic and
A. Ostovar and J. A. Otero and K. Overvad and E. Owusu-Dabo
and F. M. Paccaud and C. Padez and E. Pahomova and A. Pajak
and D. Palli and L. Palmieri and W.-H. Pan and S.
Panda-Jonas and F. Panza and D. Papandreou and S.-W. Park
and W. R. Parnell and M. Parsaeian and N. D. Patel and I.
Pecin and M. S. Pednekar and N. Peer and P. H. Peeters and
S. V. Peixoto and M. Peltonen and A. C. Pereira and A.
Peters and A. Petersmann and J. Petkeviciene and N. Peykari
and S. T. Pham and I. Pigeot and H. Pikhart and A. Pilav and
L. Pilotto and F. Pitakaka and A. Piwonska and P.
Plans-Rubió and O. Polašek and M. Porta and M. L. P.
Portegies and A. Pourshams and H. Poustchi and R. Pradeepa
and M. Prashant and J. F. Price and J. J. Puder and M. Puiu
and M. Punab and R. F. Qasrawi and M. Qorbani and T. Q. Bao
and I. Radic and R. Radisauskas and M. Rahman and O.
Raitakari and M. Raj and S. Ramachandra Rao and A.
Ramachandran and E. Ramos and L. Rampal and S. Rampal and D.
A. Rangel Reina and J. Redon and P. F. M. Reganit and R.
Ribeiro and E. Riboli and F. Rigo and T. F. Rinke de Wit and
R. M. Ritti-Dias and S. M. Robinson and C. Robitaille and F.
Rodríguez-Artalejo and M. Del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez and L.
A. Rodríguez-Villamizar and R. Rojas-Martinez and D.
Romaguera and K. Ronkainen and A. Rosengren and J. G. R. Roy
and A. Rubinstein and B. Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt and M.
Rutkowski and C. Sabanayagam and H. S. Sachdev and O. Saidi
and S. Sakarya and B. Salanave and E. Salazar Martinez and
D. Salmerón and V. Salomaa and J. T. Salonen and M.
Salvetti and J. Sánchez-Abanto and S. Sans and D. A. Santos
and I. S. Santos and R. Nunes Dos Santos and R. Santos and
J. L. Saramies and L. B. Sardinha and G. Sarganas and N.
Sarrafzadegan and K.-U. Saum$^*$ and S. Savva and M.
Scazufca and H. Schargrodsky and S. Schipf and C. O. Schmidt
and B. Schöttker$^*$ and C. Schultsz and A. E. Schutte and
A. A. Sein and A. Sen and I. O. Senbanjo and S. G. Sepanlou
and S. K. Sharma and J. E. Shaw and K. Shibuya and D. W.
Shin and Y. Shin and K. Si-Ramlee and R. Siantar and A. M.
Sibai and D. A. Santos Silva and M. Simon and J. Simons and
L. A. Simons and M. Sjöström and S. Skovbjerg and J.
Slowikowska-Hilczer and P. Slusarczyk and L. Smeeth and M.
C. Smith and M. B. Snijder and H.-K. So and E. Sobngwi and
S. Söderberg and V. Solfrizzi and E. Sonestedt and Y. Song
and T. I. A. Sørensen and M. Soric and C. S. Jérome and A.
Soumare and J. A. Staessen and G. Starc and M. G.
Stathopoulou and B. Stavreski and J. Steene-Johannessen and
P. Stehle and A. D. Stein and G. S. Stergiou and J. Stessman
and J. Stieber and D. Stöckl and T. Stocks and J.
Stokwiszewski and K. Stronks and M. W. Strufaldi and C.-A.
Sun and J. Sundström and Y.-T. Sung and P. Suriyawongpaisal
and R. G. Sy and E. Shyong Tai and M.-L. Tammesoo and A.
Tamosiunas and E. J. Tan and X. Tang and F. Tanser and Y.
Tao and M. R. Tarawneh and C. B. Tarqui-Mamani and O.-F.
Tautu and A. Taylor and H. Theobald and X. Theodoridis and
L. Thijs and B. H. Thuesen and A. Tjonneland and H. K.
Tolonen and J. S. Tolstrup and M. Topbas and R. Topór-Madry
and M. J. Tormo and M. Torrent and P. Traissac and D.
Trichopoulos and A. Trichopoulou and O. T. H. Trinh and A.
Trivedi and L. Tshepo and M. K. Tulloch-Reid and F. Tullu
and T.-P. Tuomainen and J. Tuomilehto and M. L. Turley and
P. Tynelius and C. Tzourio and P. Ueda and E. E. Ugel and H.
Ulmer and H. M. T. Uusitalo and G. Valdivia and D. Valvi and
Y. T. van der Schouw and K. Van Herck and H. Van Minh and L.
van Rossem and N. M. Van Schoor and I. G. M. van Valkengoed
and D. Vanderschueren and D. Vanuzzo and L. Vatten and T.
Vega and G. Velasquez-Melendez and G. Veronesi and W. M.
Monique Verschuren and R. Verstraeten and C. G. Victora and
L. Viet and E. Viikari-Juntura and P. Vineis and J. Vioque
and J. K. Virtanen and S. Visvikis-Siest and B. Viswanathan
and T. Vlasoff and P. Vollenweider and S. Voutilainen and A.
N. Wade and A. Wagner and J. Walton and W. M. Wan Bebakar
and W. N. Wan Mohamud and R. S. Wanderley and M.-D. Wang and
Q. Wang and Y. X. Wang and Y.-W. Wang and S. G. Wannamethee
and N. Wareham and N. Wedderkopp and D. Weerasekera and P.
H. Whincup and K. Widhalm and I. S. Widyahening and A.
Wiecek and A. H. Wijga and R. J. Wilks and J. Willeit and P.
Willeit and E. A. Williams and T. Wilsgaard and B. Wojtyniak
and R. A. Wong-McClure and J. Y. Y. Wong and T. Y. Wong and
J. Woo and M. Woodward and A. Giwercman Wu and F. C. Wu and
S. Wu and H. Xu and W. Yan and X. Yang and X. Ye and P. K.
Yiallouros and A. Yoshihara and N. O. Younger-Coleman and A.
F. Yusoff and A. A. Zainuddin and S. Zambon and A. Zampelas
and T. Zdrojewski and Y. Zeng and D. Zhao and W. Zhao and W.
Zheng and Y. Zheng and D. Zhu and B. Zhussupov and E.
Zimmermann and J. Z. Cisneros},
collaboration = {NCD Risk {Factor Collaboration}},
title = {{C}ontributions of mean and shape of blood pressure
distribution to worldwide trends and variations in raised
blood pressure: a pooled analysis of 1018 population-based
measurement studies with 88.6 million participants.},
journal = {International journal of epidemiology},
volume = {47},
number = {3},
issn = {1464-3685},
address = {Oxford},
publisher = {Oxford Univ. Press},
reportid = {DKFZ-2018-01210},
pages = {872 - 883i},
year = {2018},
note = {NCD Risk Factors Collaboration (NCD-RisC)* * Collaborator
from DKFZ: Brenner H},
abstract = {Change in the prevalence of raised blood pressure could be
due to both shifts in the entire distribution of blood
pressure (representing the combined effects of public health
interventions and secular trends) and changes in its
high-blood-pressure tail (representing successful clinical
interventions to control blood pressure in the hypertensive
population). Our aim was to quantify the contributions of
these two phenomena to the worldwide trends in the
prevalence of raised blood pressure.We pooled 1018
population-based studies with blood pressure measurements on
88.6 million participants from 1985 to 2016. We first
calculated mean systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean
diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and prevalence of raised
blood pressure by sex and 10-year age group from
20-29 years to 70-79 years in each study, taking into
account complex survey design and survey sample weights,
where relevant. We used a linear mixed effect model to
quantify the association between (probit-transformed)
prevalence of raised blood pressure and age-group- and
sex-specific mean blood pressure. We calculated the
contributions of change in mean SBP and DBP, and of change
in the prevalence-mean association, to the change in
prevalence of raised blood pressure.In 2005-16, at the same
level of population mean SBP and DBP, men and women in South
Asia and in Central Asia, the Middle East and North Africa
would have the highest prevalence of raised blood pressure,
and men and women in the high-income Asia Pacific and
high-income Western regions would have the lowest. In most
region-sex-age groups where the prevalence of raised blood
pressure declined, one half or more of the decline was due
to the decline in mean blood pressure. Where prevalence of
raised blood pressure has increased, the change was entirely
driven by increasing mean blood pressure, offset partly by
the change in the prevalence-mean association.Change in mean
blood pressure is the main driver of the worldwide change in
the prevalence of raised blood pressure, but change in the
high-blood-pressure tail of the distribution has also
contributed to the change in prevalence, especially in older
age groups.},
cin = {C070 / G110 / C020},
ddc = {610},
cid = {I:(DE-He78)C070-20160331 / I:(DE-He78)G110-20160331 /
I:(DE-He78)C020-20160331},
pnm = {313 - Cancer risk factors and prevention (POF3-313)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-313},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:29579276},
pmc = {pmc:PMC6005056},
doi = {10.1093/ije/dyy016},
url = {https://inrepo02.dkfz.de/record/136772},
}
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