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@ARTICLE{Carr:154118,
author = {P. Carr$^*$ and K. Weigl$^*$ and D. Edelmann$^*$ and L.
Jansen$^*$ and J. Chang-Claude$^*$ and H. Brenner$^*$ and M.
Hoffmeister$^*$},
title = {{E}stimation of {A}bsolute {R}isk of {C}olorectal {C}ancer
{B}ased on {H}ealthy {L}ifestyle, {G}enetic {R}isk, and
{C}olonoscopy {S}tatus in a {P}opulation-based {S}tudy.},
journal = {Gastroenterology},
volume = {159},
number = {1},
issn = {0016-5085},
address = {Philadelphia, Pa. [u.a.]},
publisher = {Saunders},
reportid = {DKFZ-2020-00579},
pages = {129-138.e9},
year = {2020},
note = {2020 Jul;159(1):129-138.e9#EA:C070#LA:C070#},
abstract = {Estimates of absolute risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) are
needed to facilitate communication and better inform the
public about the potentials and limits of cancer
prevention.Using data from a large population-based
case-control study in Germany (DACHS study, which began in
2003) and population registry data, we calculated 30-year
absolute risk estimates for development of CRC, based on a
healthy lifestyle score (derived from 5 modifiable lifestyle
factors: smoking, alcohol consumption, diet, physical
activity, and body fatness), a polygenic risk score (based
on 90 single nucleotide polymorphisms), and colonoscopy
history.We analyzed data from 4220 patients with CRC and
3338 individuals without CRC. Adherence to a healthy
lifestyle and colonoscopy in the preceding 10 y were
associated with a reduced relative risk of CRC in men and
women. We observed a higher CRC risk in participants with
high or intermediate genetic risk scores. For 50-year-old
men and women without a colonoscopy, the absolute risk of
CRC varied according to the polygenic risk score and the
healthy lifestyle score (men, $3.5\%-13.4\%$ and women,
$2.5\%-10.6\%).$ For 50-year-old men and women with a
colonoscopy, the absolute risk of developing CRC was much
lower but still varied according to the polygenic risk score
and the healthy lifestyle score (men, $1.2\%-4.8\%$ and
women, $0.9\%-4.2\%).$ Among all risk factor profiles, the
30-y absolute risk estimates consistently decreased with
adherence to a healthy lifestyle.In a population-based
study, we found that a colonoscopy can drastically reduce
the absolute risk of CRC and that the genetically
predetermined risk of CRC can be further reduced by
adherence to a healthy lifestyle. Our results show the
magnitude of CRC prevention possible through colonoscopy and
lifestyle at a predefined genetic risk.},
cin = {C070 / C060 / C020 / C120 / HD01},
ddc = {610},
cid = {I:(DE-He78)C070-20160331 / I:(DE-He78)C060-20160331 /
I:(DE-He78)C020-20160331 / I:(DE-He78)C120-20160331 /
I:(DE-He78)HD01-20160331},
pnm = {313 - Cancer risk factors and prevention (POF3-313)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-313},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:32179093},
doi = {10.1053/j.gastro.2020.03.016},
url = {https://inrepo02.dkfz.de/record/154118},
}