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@ARTICLE{Kong:180148,
author = {L. Kong and X.-J. Ma$^*$ and X.-Y. Xu and P.-P. Liu and
Z.-Y. Wu and L.-W. Zhang and J.-T. Zhang and Z. Wu and L.
Wang and D. Li},
title = {{F}ive-year symptomatic hemorrhage risk of untreated
brainstem cavernous malformations in a prospective cohort.},
journal = {Neurosurgical review},
volume = {45},
number = {4},
issn = {0344-5607},
address = {New York},
publisher = {Springer},
reportid = {DKFZ-2022-01135},
pages = {2961-2973},
year = {2022},
note = {2022 Aug;45(4):2961-2973},
abstract = {Hemorrhage of brainstem cavernous malformation (CM) would
cause various symptoms and severe disability. The study
aimed to elaborate on the 5-year actuarial cumulative hazard
of symptomatic hemorrhage. Patients diagnosed in our
institute between 2009 and 2013 were prospectively
registered. All clinical data were obtained, follow-up was
performed, and risk factors were evaluated. Four hundred
sixty-eight patients (217 female, $46.4\%)$ were included in
the study with a median follow-up duration of 79.0 months. A
total of 137 prospective hemorrhages occurred in 107
patients $(22.9\%)$ during 1854.0 patient-years.
Multivariate Cox analysis found age ≥ 55 years (hazard
ratio (HR) 2.166, p = 0.002), DVA (HR 1.576, p = 0.026),
superficial-seated location (HR 1.530, p = 0.047), and
hemorrhage on admission (HR 2.419, p = 0.026) as independent
risk factors for hemorrhage. The 5-year cumulative hazard of
hemorrhage was $30.8\%$ for the overall cohort, $47.8\%$ for
60 patients with age ≥ 55 years, $43.7\%$ for 146 patients
with DVA, $37.9\%$ for 272 patients with superficial-seated
lesions, and $37.2\%$ for 341 patients with hemorrhage on
admission. As a stratified analysis, within subcohort of 341
patients with a hemorrhagic presentation, age ≥ 55 years
(HR 3.005, p < 0.001), DVA (HR 1.801, p = 0.010), and
superficial-seated location (HR 2.276, p = 0.001) remained
independently significant. The 5-year cumulative hazard of
hemorrhage was $52.0\%$ for 119 patients with both DVA and
hemorrhagic presentation. The 5-year cumulative hemorrhagic
risk was $30.8\%$ and was higher in subgroups if harboring
risk factors that helped to predict potential hemorrhagic
candidates and were useful for treatment
decision-making.Clinical Trial Registration-URL:
http://www.chictr.org.cn Unique identifier:
ChiCTR-POC-17011575.},
keywords = {Brainstem cavernous malformation (Other) / Cavernoma
(Other) / Cerebral cavernous malformation (Other) /
Hemorrhage risk (Other) / Natural history (Other)},
cin = {A240},
ddc = {610},
cid = {I:(DE-He78)A240-20160331},
pnm = {311 - Zellbiologie und Tumorbiologie (POF4-311)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-311},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:35633420},
doi = {10.1007/s10143-022-01815-2},
url = {https://inrepo02.dkfz.de/record/180148},
}