TY - JOUR AU - Robbins, Hilary A AU - Ferreiro-Iglesias, Aida AU - Waterboer, Tim AU - Brenner, Nicole AU - Nygard, Mari AU - Bender, Noemi AU - Schroeder, Lea AU - Hildesheim, Allan AU - Pawlita, Michael AU - D'Souza, Gypsyamber AU - Visvanathan, Kala AU - Langseth, Hilde AU - Schlecht, Nicolas F AU - Tinker, Lesley F AU - Agalliu, Ilir AU - Wassertheil-Smoller, Sylvia AU - Ness-Jensen, Eivind AU - Hveem, Kristian AU - Grioni, Sara AU - Kaaks, Rudolf AU - Sánchez, Maria-Jose AU - Weiderpass, Elisabete AU - Giles, Graham G AU - Milne, Roger L AU - Cai, Qiuyin AU - Blot, William J AU - Zheng, Wei AU - Weinstein, Stephanie J AU - Albanes, Demetrius AU - Huang, Wen-Yi AU - Freedman, Neal D AU - Kreimer, Aimée R AU - Johansson, Mattias AU - Brennan, Paul TI - Absolute Risk of Oropharyngeal Cancer After an HPV16-E6 Serology Test and Potential Implications for Screening: Results From the Human Papillomavirus Cancer Cohort Consortium. JO - Journal of clinical oncology VL - 40 IS - 31 SN - 0732-183X CY - Alexandria, Va. PB - American Society of Clinical Oncology M1 - DKFZ-2022-02631 SP - 3613 - 3622 PY - 2022 AB - Seropositivity for the HPV16-E6 oncoprotein is a promising marker for early detection of oropharyngeal cancer (OPC), but the absolute risk of OPC after a positive or negative test is unknown.We constructed an OPC risk prediction model that integrates (1) relative odds of OPC for HPV16-E6 serostatus and cigarette smoking from the human papillomavirus (HPV) Cancer Cohort Consortium (HPVC3), (2) US population risk factor data from the National Health Interview Survey, and (3) US sex-specific population rates of OPC and mortality.The nine HPVC3 cohorts included 365 participants with OPC with up to 10 years between blood draw and diagnosis and 5,794 controls. The estimated 10-year OPC risk for HPV16-E6 seropositive males at age 50 years was 17.4 KW - Male KW - Female KW - Humans KW - Middle Aged KW - Papillomaviridae KW - Alphapapillomavirus KW - Human papillomavirus 16: genetics KW - Papillomavirus Infections: complications KW - Papillomavirus Infections: diagnosis KW - Papillomavirus Infections: epidemiology KW - Antibodies, Viral KW - Early Detection of Cancer KW - Oropharyngeal Neoplasms: diagnosis KW - Oropharyngeal Neoplasms: epidemiology KW - Oncogene Proteins, Viral KW - Antibodies, Viral (NLM Chemicals) KW - Oncogene Proteins, Viral (NLM Chemicals) LB - PUB:(DE-HGF)16 C6 - pmid:35700419 C2 - pmc:PMC9622695 DO - DOI:10.1200/JCO.21.01785 UR - https://inrepo02.dkfz.de/record/182410 ER -