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@ARTICLE{Ehret:307614,
author = {F. Ehret$^*$ and J. Grimm and G. Subedi and S. M. Vorbach
and V. Salvestrini and I. Bonaparte and A. A. Mohamed and S.
Adebahr$^*$ and A. Richter and A. Fabian and T. Weissmann
and J. Kaufmann and S. Drabke and E. L. Looman and M.
Waltenberger and K. M. Kraus and M. Grohmann and A. Baehr
and S. Rogers and A. Gawish and J.-N. Becker and R. J.
Klement and R. Partl and M. J. Eble and A.-L. Grosu$^*$ and
A. Rimner$^*$ and E. Gkika$^*$ and M. Trommer and O.
Riesterer and F. Putz and U. Ganswindt and C. Moustakis and
N. H. Nicolay and T. B. Brunner and O. Blanck and P. Bonomo
and A. Wittig-Sauerwein and P. Balermpas and F. Nägler and
A. Rühle$^*$},
title = {{T}umor control probability modeling of pulmonary
metastases in oligometastatic head and neck squamous cell
carcinoma treated with stereotactic body radiation therapy.},
journal = {Radiotherapy and oncology},
volume = {nn},
issn = {0167-8140},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {DKFZ-2026-00086},
pages = {nn},
year = {2026},
note = {#DKTKZFB9# / epub},
abstract = {Local control rates for pulmonary metastases from head and
neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) treated with
stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) vary
substantially in the literature, likely due to differences
in the doses applied. This study, therefore, aims to develop
tumor control probability (TCP) models.Dose-time modeling of
TCP was performed for three key dose descriptors: 3-fraction
equivalent dose (3fxED) prescription dose, 3fxED planning
target volume (PTV) $D95\%,$ and 3fxED PTV $D2\%.$ Each dose
descriptor was stratified into 4 dose groups using a
k-medians clustering algorithm, and the Kaplan-Meier
estimator was computed in each group separately to enable
time-dependent dose-response modeling. Logistic regression
models were fitted using maximum likelihood estimation with
model parameters determined separately for 1-year and 2-year
local control.This retrospective multicenter analysis
included 318 pulmonary metastases from 215 patients. The
median 3fxED prescription dose was 45.0 Gy (IQR, 39.2-46.5),
corresponding to a biologically effective dose (α/β = 20
Gy) (BED20) of 78.8 Gy (IQR, 64.8-82.5). After a median
radiographic follow-up of 13.3 months (IQR, 6.6-32.0), 21
local failures were observed. All models indicated a
dose-dependent effect on the local control probability. A
local control rate of 95 $\%$ was achieved at 1 and 2 years
when 3fxED prescription doses and PTV $D95\%$ exceeded about
51 Gy (94 Gy BED20), and when PTV $D2\%$ reached 66 Gy (139
Gy BED20).These TCP models suggest a dose-dependent
probability of local control in pulmonary HNSCC metastases
treated with SBRT and provide a basis for future clinical
assessments in this population.},
keywords = {Head and neck cancer (Other) / Lung metastases (Other) /
Modeling (Other) / Oligometastases (Other) / Radiotherapy
(Other) / SABR (Other) / SBRT (Other) / Stereotactic body
radiation therapy (Other) / Tumor control probability
(Other)},
cin = {BE01 / FR01},
ddc = {610},
cid = {I:(DE-He78)BE01-20160331 / I:(DE-He78)FR01-20160331},
pnm = {899 - ohne Topic (POF4-899)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-899},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:41519167},
doi = {10.1016/j.radonc.2026.111375},
url = {https://inrepo02.dkfz.de/record/307614},
}