Journal Article DKFZ-2022-01878

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Including Measures of Chronic Kidney Disease to Improve Cardiovascular Risk Prediction by SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP.

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2023
Sage Publ. London [u.a.]

European journal of preventive cardiology 30(1), 8-16 () [10.1093/eurjpc/zwac176]
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Abstract: The 2021 ESC guideline on cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention categorizes moderate and severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) as high and very-high CVD risk status regardless of other factors like age and does not include estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria in its algorithms, SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP, to predict CVD risk. We developed and validated an 'Add-on' to incorporate CKD measures into these algorithms, using a validated approach.In 3,054,840 participants from 34 datasets, we developed three Add-ons (eGFR only, eGFR + urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio [ACR] [the primary Add-on], and eGFR + dipstick proteinuria) for SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP. We validated c-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI), accounting for competing risk of non-CVD death, in 5,997,719 participants from 34 different datasets.In the target population of SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP without diabetes, the CKD Add-on (eGFR only) and CKD Add-on (eGFR + ACR) improved c-statistic by 0.006 (95%CI 0.004-0.008) and 0.016 (0.010-0.023), respectively, for SCORE2 and 0.012 (0.009-0.015) and 0.024 (0.014-0.035), respectively, for SCORE2-OP. Similar results were seen when we included individuals with diabetes and tested the CKD Add-on (eGFR + dipstick). In 57,485 European participants with CKD, SCORE2 or SCORE2-OP with a CKD Add-on showed a significant NRI (e.g., 0.100 [0.062-0.138] for SCORE2) compared to the qualitative approach in the ESC guideline.Our Add-ons with CKD measures improved CVD risk prediction beyond SCORE2 and SCORE2-OP. This approach will help clinicians and patients with CKD refine risk prediction and further personalize preventive therapies for CVD.

Keyword(s): cardiovascular disease ; chronic kidney disease ; meta-analysis ; risk prediction

Classification:

Note: 2023 Jan 11;30(1):8-16

Contributing Institute(s):
  1. C070 Klinische Epidemiologie und Alternf. (C070)
Research Program(s):
  1. 313 - Krebsrisikofaktoren und Prävention (POF4-313) (POF4-313)

Appears in the scientific report 2022
Database coverage:
Medline ; Clarivate Analytics Master Journal List ; Current Contents - Clinical Medicine ; Essential Science Indicators ; IF >= 5 ; JCR ; NationallizenzNationallizenz ; SCOPUS ; Science Citation Index Expanded ; Web of Science Core Collection
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 Record created 2022-08-18, last modified 2024-02-29



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