Journal Article DKFZ-2025-01469

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Cost effectiveness analysis of prostate cancer screening strategies in Germany: A microsimulation study.

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2025
Wiley Interscience New York, NY

Radiation oncology investigations 157(8), 1662-1679 () [10.1002/ijc.35513]
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Abstract: Prostate cancer (PCa) represents a significant public health challenge in Germany, with increasing incidence and economic impact. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of 10 screening strategies: prostate-specific antigen-based risk-adaptive screening (PSA-RAS), with or without magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), in men starting at age 45 or 50 and stopping at 60 or 70, digital rectal examination (DRE) for ages 45-75 years, and no screening. Using a well calibrated microsimulation model (Swedish Prostata) from a statutory health insurance perspective, lifetime outcomes were evaluated, including cancer incidence, mortality, overdiagnosis, biopsies, life-years, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) discounted annually at 3%. Cost and utility inputs were derived from the German diagnostic-related group schedule, fee-for-service catalogues, literature, and expert opinion. DRE-only was the least cost-effective, yielding high biopsy and overdiagnosis rates with minimal QALY gains. PSA-RAS reduced overdiagnosis and biopsy rates, with PSA-RAS (50-60 years) without MRI emerging as the most cost-efficient strategy, saving approximately €1.2 million per 100,000 men compared with no screening. Extending the PSA-RAS to 70 years improved its effectiveness in terms of QALYs. PSA-RAS (50-70) with MRI could become cost-effective at an increasing willingness to pay threshold or decreasing MRI cost. This study suggests the potential of PSA-RAS to improve PCa screening in Germany. Incorporating MRI, reducing MRI cost within the screening setting, and extending screening to 70 to align with EU recommendations could improve the cost-effectiveness of PSA-RAS with MRI. Future research should explore the integration of MRI with ancillary tests, such as 4K-score or risk calculators, to reduce MRI use and associated costs.

Keyword(s): QALYs ; cost‐effectiveness analysis ; magnetic resonance imaging ; organised screening ; prostate cancer ; prostate‐specific antigen

Classification:

Note: #EA:C100# / 2025 Oct 15;157(8):1662-1679

Contributing Institute(s):
  1. Gesundheitsökonomie (C100)
  2. Personalisierte Früherkennung des Prostatakarzinoms (C130)
Research Program(s):
  1. 313 - Krebsrisikofaktoren und Prävention (POF4-313) (POF4-313)

Appears in the scientific report 2025
Database coverage:
Medline ; NationallizenzNationallizenz ; SCOPUS
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 Record created 2025-07-21, last modified 2025-08-27



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