| Home > Publications database > Years of life lost in patients with a false-negative diagnosis of primary melanoma. A prospective study of the German Central Malignant Melanoma Registry involving 9063 patients over 28 years. |
| Journal Article | DKFZ-2026-01656 |
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2026
Springer Nature
[London]
Abstract: A false-negative diagnosis of cancer can lead to a delay in effective treatment and a poorer prognosis. Here, we use the example of cutaneous melanoma to examine how many years of life are lost after a false-negative diagnosis compared to a primarily correct diagnosis. From 1996 to 2015, 9,063 patients are prospectively registered in the German Central Malignant Melanoma Registry and followed up until December 2023. A false-negative diagnosis is found in 206 (2.3%) patients. The median time to correct diagnosis is 24.0 months. The 10-year recurrence-free survival probabilities are 32.9% for false-negative diagnoses and 76.2% for correct diagnoses (p < 0.001). The 10-year melanoma-specific survival probabilities are 62.1% versus 85.0% (p < 0.001). On average, each person with an initial false-negative diagnosis loses 8.2 years of life compared to people with a correct diagnosis. This high number of years of life lost raises the question of whether similar results also apply to other types of cancer.
Keyword(s): Humans (MeSH) ; Melanoma: diagnosis (MeSH) ; Melanoma: mortality (MeSH) ; Germany: epidemiology (MeSH) ; Registries (MeSH) ; Female (MeSH) ; Prospective Studies (MeSH) ; Male (MeSH) ; False Negative Reactions (MeSH) ; Skin Neoplasms: diagnosis (MeSH) ; Skin Neoplasms: mortality (MeSH) ; Aged (MeSH) ; Middle Aged (MeSH) ; Aged, 80 and over (MeSH) ; Cutaneous Malignant Melanoma (MeSH) ; Adult (MeSH) ; Prognosis (MeSH) ; Life Expectancy (MeSH)
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