Journal Article DKFZ-2025-02087

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Sensitivity analysis of dose-response model parameters for the bladder in prostate cancer radiotherapy.

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2025
Elsevier Amsterdam

Physica medica 139, 105178 () [10.1016/j.ejmp.2025.105178]
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Abstract: This study evaluates how model parameter values affect dose-response maps (DRMs) in identifying high-risk bladder subregions associated with late urinary toxicities in prostate cancer patients post-radiotherapy.Data from 1808 patients were analyzed for five late bladder toxicities. Baseline scores were subtracted from maximum toxicity at 12 and 24 months and dichotomized into grades ≥ 1 and ≥ 2. Bladders were segmented on computed tomography scans, and dose-surface maps (DSMs) were created on 91 × 90 voxel grids using spherical and cylindrical coordinates. Voxel doses were converted to equivalent dose in 2 Gy fractions (EQD2, α/β 1-3 Gy). Welch's t and Mann-Whitney U equations were applied at each voxel location. Multiple comparisons were corrected via permutation testing (10-10000 iterations), and statistically significant voxels were identified using the 90th and 95th percentiles of Tmax/Umax. Sensitivity of parameters was assessed by varying one parameter at a time, with changes > 400 voxels (∼5% of 8190) classified as large and ≤ 400 as small.Urinary tract obstruction was the only toxicity significantly associated with bladder DSMs, focusing results on this outcome. After baseline adjustment and dichotomization, event/nonevent counts were 62/701 (grade≥1) and 21/742 (grade≥2; N = 763). DRM results showed large effects of toxicity grade threshold, coordinate system, statistical test equation, and Tmax/Umax thresholding. EQD2 α/β showed variable effects, large for cylindrical and small for spherical coordinates, while the number of permutations had only a small effect.Parameter selection significantly influences high-risk subregion identification in DRMs, emphasizing the need for standardized parameter reporting for meaningful external comparisons.

Keyword(s): Bladder ; IBDM ; Image-based data mining ; Imaging biomarker ; Multicenter clinical trial ; OAR ; Organ-at-risk ; Prediction model ; Predictive modeling ; Prostate cancer ; Radiotherapy ; Standardization ; Toxicity ; VBA ; Voxel-based dose–response analysis

Classification:

Contributing Institute(s):
  1. Epidemiologie von Krebs (C020)
Research Program(s):
  1. 313 - Krebsrisikofaktoren und Prävention (POF4-313) (POF4-313)

Appears in the scientific report 2025
Database coverage:
Medline ; Clarivate Analytics Master Journal List ; Current Contents - Clinical Medicine ; Essential Science Indicators ; IF < 5 ; JCR ; NationallizenzNationallizenz ; SCOPUS ; Science Citation Index Expanded ; Web of Science Core Collection
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 Record created 2025-10-13, last modified 2025-10-19



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